Under Analysis

Making Sense of What May Be a Tesla Bubble

Analysts are running to keep up with Wall Street’s biggest juggernaut

Steve LeVine
Marker
Published in
4 min readFeb 5, 2020

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People walk by a Tesla showroom in the Meatpacking district in Manhattan
Photo: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Under Analysis is a Marker column where experts and analysts weigh in on a prominent company’s future prospects. Today, we look at Tesla’s incredible stock rally.

TTesla shares surged 13% today after rising 19% yesterday. They are up 3.8 times since their low last May, have more than doubled this year, and are already up 36% this month. Tesla’s $170 billion market cap is almost GM’s, Ford’s and VW’s combined.

Except that Tesla produced 367,500 vehicles last year, while VW alone sold about 11 million. For analysts, this is whiplash just a year after much of Wall Street seemed certain the company was on a death march, led by a string of public foibles by CEO Elon Musk, who himself forecast bankruptcy right about now, short of transformational changes.

Analysts have been scrambling to keep up with Tesla’s run. Yesterday, Argus raised its target price to $808 a share, the highest on Wall Street; only a month ago, Argus had raised its target to $556. Last Friday, another bull — ARK Invest — put a whopping $7,000 target on Tesla shares by 2024.

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Steve LeVine
Marker
Writer for

Editor at Large, Medium, covering the turbulence all around us, electric vehicles, batteries, social trends. Writing The Mobilist. Ex-Axios, Quartz, WSJ, NYT.