The Economist Who Wants to Ditch Math

Nobel laureate Robert Shiller argues that gossip, half-baked philosophy, and fake news drive economics — not only numbers. His peers aren’t exactly thrilled.

Steve LeVine
Marker

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Robert Shiller attends the 2019 Forbes 30 Under 30 Summit on October 29, 2019 in Detroit, Michigan.
Robert Shiller attends the 2019 Forbes 30 Under 30 Summit on October 29, 2019 in Detroit, Michigan. Photo: Taylor Hill/Getty

TTwo decades ago, before the dotcom bust, economist Robert Shiller told peers that the stock market was vastly overpriced. A few years later, before the financial crash, he warned that housing was fated for a massive correction, too. Now the rabble-rousing, Nobel laureate professor has a new message for them:

Put down your calculators. It’s time to listen.

And what will his fellow economists hear when they do? An epidemic of chatter, says Shiller — stories told and retold at home, on social media, at workplaces, and just about everywhere else people gather. The skinny may be about new money pouring into Bitcoin, or the Chinese trade deal really about to happen this time. Before long, collective mobs of people will be moving their money around, sending the Dow to new highs.

In short, after four decades of a religious-like fixation with mathematics, mainstream economists may learn that the gossip, whispers, half-baked philosophy and “news tips” passed human to human since cave days drive economics. True, fake, it hasn’t mattered — such talk has…

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